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Petroleum Business

Petroleum Risk and Decision Analysis

Sound technical and commercial decisions rest on careful analysis of costs, benefits and risks. This course introduces the decision analysis process and its core concepts so participants can contribute fully to multi-discipline evaluation teams. The emphasis is on designing and solving decision models, with many examples drawn from exploration but methods that apply to any capital investment.

Discipline
Petroleum Business
Level
Foundation
Duration
5 days
Formats
Classroom, In-house, Blended
Every course can be delivered in-house and tailored to your organisation.

Who should attend

Geoscientists, engineers, managers, team leaders, economists and planners involved in evaluating projects and investments.

What participants will be able to do

  • Describe the decision analysis process and team roles
  • Express uncertain judgements as probability distributions
  • Solve for expected value using trees, tables and simulation
  • Build and solve decision models
  • Evaluate investment and design options with decision trees

Topics covered

  • Decision analysis process
  • Probability and statistics
  • Decision trees
  • Monte Carlo simulation
  • Expected value
  • Exploration risk